The Monkey Cage

Comparing Exit Polls from 2008 and 2004

Obama runs better among non-whites.

Whites +2 D
Blacks +7 D
Latinos +13 D
Asian +6 D
Other +11 D

White Men +4 D
White Women +2 D

No jump in the Latino vote. 8 % in 2004 and 2008.

No jump in the youth vote. 18 in 2004. 17 in 2004.

Big swing by age:

18-29 +12 D
30-44 +7 D
45-64 +2 D
65+ -1 D

Obama does better at both ends of the income scale:

Under $15,000 +10 D
$15,000 - $29,999 +3 D
$30,000 - $49,999 +5 D
$50,000 - $74,999 +6 D
$75,000 - $99,999 +6 D
$100,000 - $149,999 +6 D
$150,000 - $199,999 +7 D
$200,000 or more +17 D

Obama does best at the lower end of the education scale.

Did not complete high school +13 D
High school graduate +5 D
Some college or associate degree +5 D
College graduate +4 D
Postgraduate study +3 D

I hate to contradict Chuck Todd, but I just don’t see big changes in the white vote by education.

White No College +2 D
White College +3 D