« America in the World: Voter Attitudes on the Economy | Main | The (In)effectiveness of Amber Alerts »
See here.
Posted by Andrew Gelman on August 2, 2008 08:02 AM | Permalink
That’s extremely close to the market prediction. Which is 62.5%
Posted by: jsalvati | August 2, 2008 12:09 PM
Almost all the forecasts now predict Obama will win, but do any forecasts have a race variable? Or, will Obama’s lead be so sufficient that even if he loses a few “race” points on November 4th, it won’t matter?
Posted by: Black Political Analysis | August 2, 2008 12:41 PM
How many age points will McCain lose?
Posted by: JMA | August 2, 2008 04:31 PM
Comments
That’s extremely close to the market prediction. Which is 62.5%
Posted by: jsalvati | August 2, 2008 12:09 PM
Almost all the forecasts now predict Obama will win, but do any forecasts have a race variable? Or, will Obama’s lead be so sufficient that even if he loses a few “race” points on November 4th, it won’t matter?
Posted by: Black Political Analysis | August 2, 2008 12:41 PM
How many age points will McCain lose?
Posted by: JMA | August 2, 2008 04:31 PM