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"But viewed in retrospect, it is clear that it has been quite predictable"

This is how they do political science at Cambridge (U.K. version). They also seem to think that doing a poll is equivalent to “throwing darts at a board.” To give credit where due, though, they do take their darts pretty seriously over there . . .

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Goes on to show the dismal state of political science in Cambridge.

It's just like Yogi Berra said, "predictions are risky, especially when they're about the future."