Looking at Campaign 2008 through Rose-colored Glasses
My, my, aren’t we — the American electorate — in a cheery mood?
According to a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll conducted January 10-13:
- 60% of adults nationwide describe themselves as “more enthusiastic about voting than usual,” verus 29% who are “less enthusiastic.” That figure tends to fluctuate — just three months ago it was 65%-23%, so perhaps we’re already getting tired of all the campaigning, with a very long way to go. Still, compared to answers to the same question in January of 2000 (43% “more enthusiastic,” 38% less so) and 2004 (55% versus 34%), we’re just bubbling over with enthusiasm as of now.
- Unsurprisingly, given the current outlook, Democrats and Democratic leaners are positively giddy: 74% are “more enthusiastic” than usual (way up from the counterpart figures for 2000 — 39% — and 2004 — 59%. Republicans, by contrast, are if anything a bit more blase than ever — 49% “more enthusiastic” now, compared to 51% in 2000 and 53% in 2004.
- We’re also close to a record high in the public’s sense that “it make[s] a real difference to you who is elected president” (87% now, but only 54% back in January 2000).
- Similarly, 84% answer “yes” when asked whether there’s “any candidate running this year that you think would make a good president.” Back in January of 1992, just 40% thought so.
- And despite all the grumbling over the years about the issuelessness of presidential campaigns, most people (72%) actually think “the presidential candidates [are] talking about issues you really care about” (January 2000 counterpart: 54%).
I’m not exactly sure of what to make of this — whether it’s just a blip, why — if it’s true — it’s happening, and what difference it might make as the elections draw near. Any ideas?
(For a fuller presentation of the survey results, click here.)
[Hat tip to the Washington Post’s “Behind the Numbers” blog.]
Comments
People are ecstatic that they finally get another chance to get rid of Bush.
Posted by: Ted | January 18, 2008 03:48 PM
I can comment on this as someone who fits these poll results exactly. In 2000 I was not paying close attention. I thought politics were important, but I also assumed that there were many stable forces that kept outcomes within a narrow range. Then I experienced George W Bush, Tom DeLay, Dick Cheney and learned that the system was not as self-correcting as I had assumed. In my particular case, it was the push for the end of the “death tax” that first had me scratching my head and wondering what was going on. I also was puzzled where the political push was coming from to lower taxes. That had not seemed a sincere part of the national debate during the 2000 election. Adn there was the Iraq war.
So now I am definitely more likely to say that it is important who is elected president than I was in 2000. The last 8 years have really shaken up my views of politics and society.
I’m 58. I graduated from college in 1971 and experienced Vietnam War protests and followed the ins and outs of Watergate in escruciating detail. But then I drifted off into my own personal concerns and assumed that society and politics would roll along in a “normal” state. It was a rude shock to learn that I couldn’t count on normalcy to protect me.
Posted by: ivyelm
|
January 19, 2008 10:28 AM